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Fitch Ratings Upgrades Hellenic Bank to BBB-; Outlook Stable

banking risk management

Fitch Ratings upgraded Hellenic Bank to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’, reflecting improved creditworthiness and stable outlook. Strong support from main shareholder Eurobank Ergasias SA and effective management of non-performing loans contributed to the positive change in rating, indicating confidence in the bank’s future performance.

What is the new Fitch Ratings for Hellenic Bank and what does it indicate?

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Hellenic Bank’s long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’, with a stable outlook. This upgrade reflects the bank’s improved creditworthiness, robust capital build-up, effective management of non-performing loans, and strong support from Eurobank Ergasias SA as the main shareholder. The stable outlook suggests confidence in the bank’s future performance.

Hellenic Bank’s Creditworthiness Bolstered

Credit rating agency Fitch Ratings has significantly improved its view on Hellenic Bank, one of Cyprus’s most prominent financial institutions. This week, the agency raised the bank’s long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’, indicating a stable outlook moving forward. Simultaneously, Hellenic Bank’s Viability Rating (VR) saw an uptick to ‘bbb-‘ from ‘bb+.’ This positive change mirrors the recent surge in Cyprus’s own economic rating to BBB+/positive, showcasing a growing confidence in the country’s financial stability and the operational environment of its banks.

The elevation of Cyprus’s economic scorecard is attributed to substantial reductions in the private sector’s debt burden. Additionally, Fitch anticipates the island nation to maintain its trajectory of economic expansion. These developments collectively underpin a sustainable business model for Cyprus’s banking sector, showing promise for consistent performance.

Strategic Moves and Robust Performance

Hellenic Bank has demonstrated a robust record of profitable operations, leading to a formidable build-up of capital. This financial health is further underpinned by a consistent quality of assets, notably after the bank effectively cleared its legacy exposure. Another highlight for the bank is its deposit-based funding strategy, which is relatively low in cost, contributing to the stability of its finances.

In a strategic move, Eurobank Ergasias SA increased its stake in Hellenic Bank to 55.48%, effectively positioning itself as the bank’s main support provider. This shift has rendered the government support rating less significant for Hellenic Bank’s overall evaluation. Fitch has responded by assigning a shareholder support rating of ‘bb-.’ The implication is clear: Eurobank’s increased involvement is a vote of confidence in Hellenic Bank’s strategic direction.

Competitive Edge and Future Prospects

A key strength for Hellenic Bank is its standing as the second-largest bank in the relatively small Cypriot market, coupled with its solid liquidity and stable deposit-based funding. The bank is well-placed to leverage favorable interest rates, ensuring healthy profitability. Regulatory capital ratios are above average, and asset quality metrics are manageable, signaling good governance and financial prudence.

Even though Hellenic Bank’s revenue streams from fees, activities, and insurance operations have been limited, the acquisition of CNP Assurances SA’s operations in Cyprus and Greece is anticipated to diversify and strengthen its income sources by the first quarter of 2025. Domestically, Hellenic Bank enjoys a significant share of the market, particularly among household consumers. Despite the inherent growth limitations due to Cyprus’s size, the bank’s market position remains strong.

Risk Management and Economic Factors

Hellenic Bank has successfully managed its non-performing loans (NPLs), with the non-performing exposure (NPE) ratio standing at 2.5% at the end of March 2024. This is a marked improvement from historical peaks and is well below the bank’s mid-term target of 3%. Such figures bode well in comparison to the average in Southern Europe, depicting a disciplined approach to risk management.

Fitch Ratings has indicated that nearly two-thirds of Hellenic Bank’s assets are in cash and high-quality securities. This allocation significantly reduces risk compared to a more loan-heavy portfolio. However, Fitch also cautions that a potential downgrade could arise from harsh economic setbacks in Cyprus, such as an unexpected recession or spikes in unemployment that could negatively impact creditworthiness and diminish the bank’s business prospects.

Risk factors also include a scenario where the bank’s problematic asset ratio rises above 6% over an extended duration, or if the CET1 capital ratio falls below 15%, leading to an undue burden on the CET1 capital with unreserved problematic assets. Conversely, an improved Cypriot operating environment with stronger credit demand and better penetration of wealth management and insurance products could pave the way for further positive rating actions.

What is the new Fitch Ratings for Hellenic Bank and what does it indicate?

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Hellenic Bank’s long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’, with a stable outlook. This upgrade reflects the bank’s improved creditworthiness, robust capital build-up, effective management of non-performing loans, and strong support from Eurobank Ergasias SA as the main shareholder. The stable outlook suggests confidence in the bank’s future performance.

How has Hellenic Bank’s creditworthiness been bolstered?

Hellenic Bank’s creditworthiness has been significantly bolstered by Fitch Ratings, with the long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) being upgraded to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’. The improved outlook reflects the bank’s robust capital build-up, effective management of non-performing loans, and strong support from Eurobank Ergasias SA. The Viability Rating (VR) has also increased to ‘bbb-‘ from ‘bb+’, showcasing growing confidence in the bank’s operational environment.

What strategic moves has Hellenic Bank made to ensure robust performance?

Hellenic Bank has demonstrated robust performance through strategic moves such as effectively managing non-performing loans, maintaining a quality asset portfolio, and implementing a deposit-based funding strategy with relatively low costs. Eurobank Ergasias SA’s increased stake in the bank to 55.48% has solidified its support, leading to a shareholder support rating of ‘bb-‘. These strategic decisions have positioned Hellenic Bank for continued success.

What are the competitive advantages and future prospects for Hellenic Bank?

Hellenic Bank benefits from being the second-largest bank in the Cypriot market, solid liquidity, stable deposit-based funding, and above-average regulatory capital ratios. The acquisition of CNP Assurances SA’s operations in Cyprus and Greece is expected to diversify income sources by early 2025. Despite limited revenue streams currently, the bank’s market position among household consumers is strong. Overall, Hellenic Bank is well-positioned for future growth within the Cypriot financial sector.

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